Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 122.567148 141.193704 162.806687 190.009159 223.720879 264.652684 3.189367e+02
2025-03-30 94.032803 116.062895 144.233774 183.820379 239.594665 318.002035 4.417959e+02
2025-04-06 80.660283 104.204472 136.357414 185.213207 260.985385 380.713740 6.004984e+02
2025-04-13 71.021760 94.899754 129.161072 184.486063 277.242568 439.192407 7.804975e+02
2025-04-20 66.029213 91.025413 128.594787 192.936926 309.576977 535.784050 1.092964e+03
2025-04-27 63.315709 89.921909 131.747020 207.696823 356.953468 681.446667 1.642089e+03
2025-05-04 58.003254 84.022034 126.176321 205.872208 371.741404 764.374948 2.112441e+03
2025-05-11 54.223303 80.057958 123.160751 207.974805 395.130173 880.029872 2.852634e+03
2025-05-18 50.176189 75.183175 117.871534 204.579478 405.240581 966.400381 3.631558e+03
2025-05-25 47.459538 72.240541 115.597751 206.772702 429.308443 1109.408781 5.036247e+03
2025-06-01 44.675944 68.897227 112.156351 205.843201 445.331590 1238.334424 6.792946e+03
2025-06-08 41.913174 65.336800 107.892307 202.366317 453.641465 1347.108529 8.896814e+03
2025-06-15 40.544846 64.359059 108.894785 212.071320 506.407661 1700.441076 1.670361e+04
2025-06-22 37.507902 60.109757 103.033116 204.788476 506.545284 1828.052685 2.354396e+04
2025-06-29 35.663570 57.889613 100.982455 206.397267 536.366230 2151.740216 4.417229e+04
2025-07-06 33.796320 55.451568 98.179790 205.555723 558.001875 2470.230829 8.662414e+04
2025-07-13 32.976576 54.931122 99.338768 215.345805 623.814791 3228.589342 3.738528e+05
2025-07-20 32.718444 55.468711 102.847021 232.498770 730.624570 4684.973048 3.140874e+07
2025-07-27 31.132554 53.219513 99.857250 230.374680 754.057176 5430.404809 NaN
2025-08-03 29.977272 51.748322 98.479470 232.822466 801.319918 6720.433374 NaN
2025-08-10 28.529875 49.569436 95.225591 228.870387 815.436356 7645.479383 NaN
2025-08-17 27.571583 48.335066 94.079927 231.422845 866.582146 9639.981772 NaN
2025-08-24 26.485338 46.754249 91.939897 230.340920 897.919295 11587.133423 NaN